Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kwakman D.
22' Event
Edvardsen V.
35' Event
Daal R.
Assist: Kwakman D.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AZ Alkmaar
15%
Draws
34%
G.A. Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • G.A. Eagles haven't matched AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
  • AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%
G.A. Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.24 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
5:2
Apr 23, 2026 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
2:2
May 4, 2025 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 KNVB Beker
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daal R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kwakman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

G.A. Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Edvardsen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suray M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
G.A. Eagles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

AZ Alkmaar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

G.A. Eagles let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS G.A. Eagles
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
08 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 0
Den Haag
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4
AZ Alkmaar
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G.A. Eagles

(Away)
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
16 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
G.A. Eagles
08 Aug
G.A. Eagles
4 : 1
Willem II
02 Aug
Luton
0 : 1
G.A. Eagles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 5 4 1 0 18:6 13
2 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13:7 11
4 Excelsior 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
5 Ajax 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
6 Twente 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
7 G.A. Eagles 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
8 Sittard 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
9 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11:12 7
10 Nijmegen 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
11 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
13 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
14 Telstar 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
15 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
16 Utrecht 4 0 1 3 6:15 1
17 Willem II 4 0 1 3 4:13 1
18 Cambuur 4 0 0 4 4:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)