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AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Logo

AZ Alkmaar

5 - 2
FT
G.A. Eagles Logo

G.A. Eagles

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kwakman D.
22' Event
Edvardsen V.
35' Event
Daal R.
Assist: Kwakman D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AZ Alkmaar
35%
Draws
24%
G.A. Eagles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • G.A. Eagles haven't matched AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
  • AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 15%
G.A. Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2 3.67
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
5:2
Apr 23, 2026 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
2:2
May 4, 2025 Eredivisie
G.A. Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
0:3
Apr 21, 2025 KNVB Beker
AZ Alkmaar vs G.A. Eagles
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Daal R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kwakman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

G.A. Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Edvardsen V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suray M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 48 / 100
G.A. Eagles 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar G.A. Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

AZ Alkmaar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

G.A. Eagles has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS G.A. Eagles
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
18 Oct
Cambuur
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
10 Oct
Feyenoord
2 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 7

G.A. Eagles

(Away)
18 Oct
Zwolle
4 : 1
G.A. Eagles
10 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1
G.A. Eagles
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3
G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31:10 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 PSV 9 6 1 2 27:12 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27:12 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
6 Sittard 9 4 3 2 16:17 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22:19 14
8 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
9 G.A. Eagles 9 2 5 2 20:21 11
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15:16 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16:22 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13:21 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Telstar 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
17 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11:20 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9:26 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)