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AZ Alkmaar vs Genk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Weslley Patati
29' Event
Weslley Patati
80' Event
Parrott T.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AZ Alkmaar
6%
Draws
4%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Genk.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 14%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Genk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
4:0
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Genk vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Jul 25, 2020 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley Patati
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parrott T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Genk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 84 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Genk has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Genk
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1
Anderlecht
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
Almere City
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Genk

(Away)
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
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