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AZ Alkmaar vs Genk Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Weslley Patati
29' Event
Weslley Patati
80' Event
Parrott T.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AZ Alkmaar
35%
Draws
24%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AZ Alkmaar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar lately — more wins on the board than Genk.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Genk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.21 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
4:0
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Genk vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Jul 25, 2020 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Genk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley Patati
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parrott T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Genk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 66 / 100
Genk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Genk has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AZ Alkmaar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Genk
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
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Genk

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
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