Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Kasius D. In: Chavez Garcia M.
Out: Kasius D.
25' Event
El Kaabi A.
30'
Hezze S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AZ Alkmaar and Olympiacos Piraeus finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AZ Alkmaar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AZ Alkmaar
20%
Draws
40%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 19%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.17 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Nov 24, 2009 Champions League
AZ Alkmaar vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:0
Sep 16, 2009 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar Compare

Top Goalscorer Meerdink M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer El Kaabi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar 36 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

AZ Alkmaar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olympiacos Piraeus has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar VS Olympiacos Piraeus
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar

(Home)
20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 6

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6