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Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
AZ Alkmaar W Logo

AZ Alkmaar W

1 - 2
FT
PSV W Logo

PSV W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Nijstad N.
Assist: Xhemaili R.
48'
van Beijeren J.
63'
Sub
Bakker E. In: Ellouzi S.
Out: Bakker E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
31%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar W haven't matched PSV W's recent run of results.
  • AZ Alkmaar W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • PSV W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSV W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 16%
PSV W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W PSV W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 26
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.7 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
3:1
Mar 18, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs AZ Alkmaar W
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs PSV W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer de Vette M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nijstad N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jansen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 41 / 100
PSV W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

AZ Alkmaar W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PSV W let in goals in 49% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS PSV W
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
AZ Alkmaar W
16 Aug
AZ Alkmaar W
2 : 1
Den Haag W
Page 1 of 6

PSV W

(Away)
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Groningen W 1
SBV Excelsior W 6
Den Haag W 0
Twente W 2
De Graafschap W 1
Sparta Rotterdam W 3
NAC Breda W 2
Hera United W 3
Feyenoord W 1
PEC Zwolle W 0
Ajax W 1
AZ Alkmaar W 2
PSV W 7
Rijnvogels W 0
Utrecht W 4
Heerenveen W 2
Quarter-finals
SBV Excelsior W 1
Twente W 3
Sparta Rotterdam W 1
Hera United W 2
Feyenoord W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 3
Utrecht W 0
Semi-finals
Twente W 3
Hera United W 0
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Final
Twente W 3
PSV W 2