Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AZ Alkmaar W vs Sittard W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 Sportpark Robonsbosweg, Alkmaar
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kroese F.
32'
van Wershoven R.
46'
Sub
van Berlo M. In: Stauffenberg B.
Out: van Berlo M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2024/2025 game between AZ Alkmaar W and Sittard W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AZ Alkmaar W
15%
Draws
46%
Sittard W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sittard W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittard W haven't matched AZ Alkmaar W's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sittard W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AZ Alkmaar W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 18%
Sittard W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AZ Alkmaar W Sittard W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Sittard W
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Sittard W vs AZ Alkmaar W
0:1
Dec 15, 2023 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Sittard W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kroese F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Lunteren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sittard W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AZ Alkmaar W 15 / 100
Sittard W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AZ Alkmaar W Sittard W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AZ Alkmaar W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Sittard W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AZ Alkmaar W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AZ Alkmaar W VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AZ Alkmaar W

(Home)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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Sittard W

(Away)
16 May
Den Haag W
2 : 0
Sittard W
03 May
Sittard W
0 : 3
PSV W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
29 Mar
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
Sittard W
23 Mar
Sittard W
0 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 22 18 3 1 69:19 57
2 PSV W 22 18 3 1 58:13 57
3 Ajax W 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
4 Utrecht W 22 12 4 6 39:22 40
5 Feyenoord W 22 12 2 8 55:29 38
6 AZ Alkmaar W 22 11 3 8 40:31 36
7 Den Haag W 22 5 6 11 25:43 21
8 Sittard W 22 5 5 12 20:42 20
9 Heerenveen W 22 4 3 15 24:48 15
10 PEC Zwolle W 22 3 5 14 15:44 14
11 Telstar W 22 2 5 15 22:59 11
12 SBV Excelsior W 22 1 7 14 16:68 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 (Qualification)