Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Coastal Union

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Zayd Y.
36' Event
Salum F.
45'
Manyasi G.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Azam and Coastal Union finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Azam
11%
Draws
9%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Coastal Union on wins alone.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Azam have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Coastal Union
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
1:0
Aug 8, 2024 Community Shield
Azam vs Coastal Union
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Zayd Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salum F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 86 / 100
Coastal Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Coastal Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Coastal Union has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Azam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Coastal Union
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539