Sport Picks

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Azam vs Gwambina

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Azam Logo

Azam

4 - 1
FT
Gwambina Logo

Gwambina

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Mozinzi M.
38' Event
Mtuwi B.
55' Event
Nado I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Azam
20%
Draws
23%
Gwambina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Gwambina.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Gwambina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Gwambina
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 30 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Gwambina
4:1
Dec 7, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Gwambina vs Azam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozinzi M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nado I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Gwambina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mtuwi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 86 / 100
Gwambina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Gwambina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (44 games).

Gwambina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Azam remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 9

Gwambina

(Away)
18 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 1
Gwambina
15 Jul
Mbeya City
1 : 0
Gwambina
23 Jun
Gwambina
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
18 Jun
Azam
4 : 1
Gwambina
26 May
Namungo
1 : 0
Gwambina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)