Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs Kinondoni MC

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Salum F.
Assist: Zouzou A.
17' Event
Salum F.
Assist: Nado I.
35' Event
Diaby Y.
Assist: Nado I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Azam and Kinondoni MC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Azam
6%
Draws
4%
Kinondoni MC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Kinondoni MC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Azam a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Azam have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Kinondoni MC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 25
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Kinondoni MC
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Azam
0:2
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Kinondoni MC
2:0
Sep 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Azam
0:4
May 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kinondoni MC vs Azam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kinondoni MC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 95 / 100
Kinondoni MC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Kinondoni MC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kinondoni MC has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Kinondoni MC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Azam scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Kinondoni MC
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539