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Azam vs Nairobi United

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Azam Complex Stadium
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Match Events

12' Event
Salum F.
Assist: Sereri Z.
31'
Hakitimana M.
46'
Sub
Hakitimana M. In: Machaga E.
Out: Hakitimana M.

AI Match Summary

Azam in this CAF Confederation Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Azam
22%
Draws
18%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Nairobi United.
  • Win probability leans Azam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CAF Confederation Cup fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Nairobi United
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 21 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Azam vs Nairobi United
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Azam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 68 / 100
Nairobi United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Nairobi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Nairobi United conceded in 69% of 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Azam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Nairobi United
1.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83