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Azam vs Nairobi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Azam Logo

Azam

1 - 0
FT
Nairobi United Logo

Nairobi United

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Salum F.
Assist: Sereri Z.
31'
Hakitimana M.
46'
Sub
Hakitimana M. In: Machaga E.
Out: Hakitimana M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Azam in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Azam
30%
Draws
31%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Azam have won more games recently than Nairobi United.
  • Win probability leans Azam's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Azam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Azam, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam Nairobi United
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.62 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Azam vs Nairobi United
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Azam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 50 / 100
Nairobi United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam Nairobi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Nairobi United conceded in 65% of 23 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Azam has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS Nairobi United
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 6

Nairobi United

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)