Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azam vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Thu, Aug 20, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Azam host TRA United in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Azam at 1.79 goals for, 0.53 against; TRA United at 1.09 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Azam slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 0.56) point toward Azam. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Azam
35%
Draws
24%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Azam lately — more wins on the board than TRA United.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Azam Clean Sheet 20%
TRA United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam TRA United
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 25 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
4:1
Jan 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
2:0
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
5:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
2:1
Feb 19, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 76 / 100
TRA United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azam's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Azam went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS TRA United
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
15 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1
Azam
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Azam
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
24 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
Azam
Page 1 of 8

TRA United

(Away)
16 Aug
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
TRA United
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0
TRA United
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
TRA United
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1
Coastal Union
16 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0
TRA United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Young Africans 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Simba 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Geita Gold 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Mashujaa 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Azam 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Polisi Tanzania 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 JKT Tanzania 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Pamba 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Dodoma Jiji 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 TRA United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Mbeya City 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Coastal Union 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Namungo 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Kagera Sugar 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Fountain Gate 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)