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Stadium Background

Azam vs TRA United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nado I.
34' Event
Suleiman A.
46' Event

AI Match Summary

Azam in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Azam
30%
Draws
23%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Azam lately — more wins on the board than TRA United.
  • Azam are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%
TRA United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azam TRA United
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 24 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
2:1
May 8, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
4:1
Jan 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
2:0
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs TRA United
5:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Azam
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nado I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suleiman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

TRA United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azam 59 / 100
TRA United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azam TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Azam found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

TRA United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Azam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Azam VS TRA United
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Azam

(Home)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 8

TRA United

(Away)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Mashujaa 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
5 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
9 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
10 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
11 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
15 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
16 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)