Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U21 vs Bulgaria U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Dalga Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Mitkov A.
41'
Papazov D.
41' Event
Rustamov E.
Assist: Suleymanly A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Azerbaijan U21
20%
Draws
47%
Bulgaria U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bulgaria U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Azerbaijan U21 haven't matched Bulgaria U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Bulgaria U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U21 Bulgaria U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
0:0
Sep 9, 2025 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Bulgaria U21
1:1
Jun 11, 2024 Friendly International
Azerbaijan U21 vs Bulgaria U21
0:0
Aug 14, 2013 Friendly International
Bulgaria U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rustamov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Bulgaria U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iliev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 31 / 100
Bulgaria U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U21 Bulgaria U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Azerbaijan U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Azerbaijan U21 found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).

Bulgaria U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Bulgaria U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Azerbaijan U21
Page 1 of 6

Bulgaria U21

(Away)
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
31 Mar
Bulgaria U21
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U21
27 Mar
Gibraltar U21
0 : 1
Bulgaria U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
14 Oct
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Czech Republic U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)