Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 2025 Azersun Arena

Northern Ireland U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Azerbaijan U21 play Northern Ireland U21 in the Euro U21 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Azerbaijan U21 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Northern Ireland U21 averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Azerbaijan U21 won 0, Northern Ireland U21 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Azerbaijan U21 and 1.56 for Northern Ireland U21. This points to a Northern Ireland U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Azerbaijan U21

22%

Draws

47%

Northern Ireland U21

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Northern Ireland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Azerbaijan U21 picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland U21.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Azerbaijan U21	Northern Ireland U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	0.77	0.83
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.72
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Euro U21

Northern Ireland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Oct 12, 2023 Euro U21

Azerbaijan U21 vs Northern Ireland U21

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuckin C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 31 / 100

Northern Ireland U21 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Azerbaijan U21 Northern Ireland U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Northern Ireland U21 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Azerbaijan U21 attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Azerbaijan U21 scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Northern Ireland U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Azerbaijan U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 27

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Italy U21	10	6	4	0	27:4	22
2	Norway U21	10	6	1	3	28:11	19
3	Ireland U21	10	5	4	1	24:12	19
4	Turkey U21	10	4	1	5	21:15	13
5	Latvia U21	10	3	2	5	10:18	11
6	San Marino U21	10	0	0	10	1:51	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain U21	10	9	1	0	28:5	28
2	Belgium U21	10	6	1	3	13:6	19
3	Scotland U21	10	5	1	4	19:11	16
4	Hungary U21	10	5	1	4	12:8	16
5	Kazakhstan U21	10	3	0	7	13:24	9
6	Malta U21	10	0	0	10	4:35	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands U21	10	10	0	0	32:3	30
2	Georgia U21	10	6	1	3	14:10	19
3	Sweden U21	10	5	2	3	25:10	17
4	North Macedonia U21	10	4	0	6	8:15	12
5	Moldova U21	10	2	1	7	7:20	7
6	Gibraltar U21	10	1	0	9	3:31	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany U21	10	8	2	0	35:10	26
2	Poland U21	10	7	1	2	24:10	22
3	Bulgaria U21	10	4	3	3	17:12	15
4	Kosovo U21	10	3	3	4	10:17	12
5	Estonia U21	10	2	1	7	7:31	7
6	Israel U21	10	1	0	9	5:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Romania U21	10	7	1	2	23:10	22
2	Finland U21	10	6	2	2	21:8	20
3	Switzerland U21	10	5	3	2	21:12	18
4	Albania U21	10	5	1	4	12:17	16
5	Montenegro U21	10	2	1	7	8:19	7
6	Armenia U21	10	0	2	8	2:21	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England U21	10	8	1	1	41:6	25
2	Ukraine U21	10	8	0	2	20:7	24
3	Serbia U21	10	5	1	4	13:18	16
4	Northern Ireland U21	10	3	2	5	10:10	11
5	Luxembourg U21	10	2	2	6	6:23	8
6	Azerbaijan U21	10	1	0	9	4:30	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal U21	10	9	0	1	33:6	27
2	Croatia U21	10	7	1	2	20:14	22
3	Greece U21	10	5	2	3	16:10	17
4	Faroe Islands U21	10	3	1	6	11:24	10
5	Belarus U21	10	1	3	6	6:20	6
6	Andorra U21	10	0	3	7	4:16	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slovenia U21	8	5	2	1	13:7	17
2	France U21	8	5	1	2	22:6	16
3	Austria U21	8	4	3	1	12:6	15
4	Cyprus U21	8	1	2	5	7:23	5
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina U21	8	1	0	7	5:17	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Denmark U21	8	5	2	1	18:8	17
2	Czech Republic U21	8	4	2	2	13:11	14
3	Wales U21	8	4	2	2	13:11	14
4	Iceland U21	8	3	0	5	9:14	9
5	Lithuania U21	8	1	0	7	7:16	3