Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Palms Sports Arena, Baku

Azerbaijan U21

0 - 4

Portugal U21

Our Tip

Match Events

51'

Moreira G.

Assist: Parente T.

54'

Parente T.

Assist: Bras G.

61'

Sub

Adilkhanov E. In: Ahmadzada N.

Out: Adilkhanov E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Azerbaijan U21

20%

Draws

52%

Portugal U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Portugal U21 have won more games recently than Azerbaijan U21.
Model gives Portugal U21 a 52% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Portugal U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Azerbaijan U21	Portugal U21
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	21
Draws	7	4
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	0.76	2.9
Goals Conceded	2.03	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.56	3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21

Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21

0:4

Sep 5, 2025 Euro U21

Portugal U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

5:0

Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21

Portugal U21 vs Azerbaijan U21

3:1

Oct 15, 2013 Euro U21

Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21

0:2

Sep 1, 1999 Euro U21

Azerbaijan U21 vs Portugal U21

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43

Avg xA / game 0.28

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Parente T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.73

Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 10 / 100

Portugal U21 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Azerbaijan U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Azerbaijan U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Azerbaijan U21 found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Portugal U21 has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Portugal U21

1 Goals Scored 3.75

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)

09 Jun

Azerbaijan U21

1 : 3

Kyrgyzstan U20

06 Jun

Azerbaijan U21

3 : 0

Bahrain U20

31 Mar

Bulgaria U21

0 : 0

Azerbaijan U21

27 Mar

Azerbaijan U21

0 : 4

Portugal U21

18 Nov

Gibraltar U21

0 : 1

Azerbaijan U21

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Portugal U21

(Away)

03 Jun

Portugal U21

4 : 0

Northern Ireland U21

31 Mar

Portugal U21

3 : 0

Scotland U21

27 Mar

Azerbaijan U21

0 : 4

Portugal U21

18 Nov

Czech Republic U21

0 : 0

Portugal U21

14 Oct

Gibraltar U21

0 : 11

Portugal U21

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