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Stadium Background

Azerbaijan U21 vs Scotland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Dalga Arena, Baku
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Graham L.
7' Event
Aliyev K.
19'
Ure K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Azerbaijan U21 and Scotland U21 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Azerbaijan U21
20%
Draws
47%
Scotland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Azerbaijan U21 haven't matched Scotland U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Azerbaijan U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Azerbaijan U21 Scotland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
5:2
Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Scotland U21
3:3
Mar 2, 2010 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21
2:2
Nov 14, 2009 Euro U21
Azerbaijan U21 vs Scotland U21
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibrahimov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Graham L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan U21 30 / 100
Scotland U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Azerbaijan U21 Scotland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Scotland U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Azerbaijan U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Azerbaijan U21 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan U21 VS Scotland U21
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Azerbaijan U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Gibraltar U21
30 Sept
Scotland U21
5 : 2
Azerbaijan U21
25 Sept
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 1
Czech Republic U21
09 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
1 : 3
Kyrgyzstan U20
06 Jun
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 0
Bahrain U20
Page 1 of 6

Scotland U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Bulgaria U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
30 Sept
Scotland U21
5 : 2
Azerbaijan U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)