Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Azerbaijan

1 - 3

France

Our Tip

Match Events

Dadashov R.

Assist: Dashdamirov R.

17'

Mateta J.

Assist: Gusto M.

24'

Nkunku C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Azerbaijan and France finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Azerbaijan

Draws

90%

France

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and France come out ahead of Azerbaijan on wins alone.
France are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
These two have met 4 times recently and France have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Azerbaijan Clean Sheet 10%

France Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Azerbaijan	France
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	22
Draws	4	2
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	1.71	2.63
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.71	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.71	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 World Championship

Azerbaijan vs France

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

France vs Azerbaijan

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sep 5, 1995 Euro

France vs Azerbaijan

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

10:0

Dec 12, 1994 Euro

Azerbaijan vs France

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Azerbaijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadashov R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.32

Avg xA / game 0.85

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateta J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Akliouche M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Azerbaijan 10 / 100

France 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Azerbaijan France

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Azerbaijan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Azerbaijan found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

France has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan VS France

1.71 Goals Scored 2.63

1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

71% Over 2.5 100%

29% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0