Sport Picks
Azul Claro Numazu vs Tochigi City
Japan
J3 League 2025 Ashitaka Park Stadium, Numazu 
Match Events
7'
7'
Tokunaga K.
8'
8'
Jonjic M.
19'
19'
Okui R.
AI Match Summary
Tochigi City in this J3 League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tochigi City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azul Claro Numazu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tochigi City have won more games recently than Azul Claro Numazu.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Azul Claro Numazu taking it.
- Regular J3 League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 15%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Azul Claro Numazu | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 19 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2025 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Tochigi City
4:5
Mar 1, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs Azul Claro Numazu
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Azul Claro Numazu Compare
Top Goalscorer Shirawachi K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Suzuki W. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Tochigi City Compare
Top Goalscorer Jonjic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hiraoka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Azul Claro Numazu 84 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Azul Claro Numazu Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Azul Claro Numazu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Tochigi City registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Azul Claro Numazu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Tochigi City let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Azul Claro Numazu VS Tochigi City
3.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Azul Claro Numazu
(Home) 26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1 Azul Claro Numazu
19 Aug
Arterivo Wakayama
0 : 6 Azul Claro Numazu
15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
Page 1 of 6
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
23 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 3 Fukushima United
16 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
02 Nov
Azul Claro Numazu
0 : 0 SC Sagamihara
19 Oct
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 2 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi City
(Away) 03 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 2 Imabari
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tochigi City | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 69:37 | 77 |
| 2 | Vanraure | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 46:23 | 72 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 55:33 | 71 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 61:45 | 67 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 53:45 | 59 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 42:36 | 58 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 46:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 50:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Fukushima United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60:67 | 56 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 44:49 | 51 |
| 12 | SC Sagamihara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 38:50 | 50 |
| 13 | Gifu | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 52:60 | 47 |
| 14 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 56:59 | 46 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | 43 |
| 16 | Ryukyu | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40:60 | 38 |
| 19 | Nagano Parceiro | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29:57 | 35 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 40:57 | 28 |
Promotion - J2 League (Main)
Promotion - J3 League 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League 2025 (Relegation)
