Sport Picks

Stadium Background

B. Gdynia vs Jarocin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 Stadion Miejski w Gdyni, Gdynia
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Korpalski A.
61' Event
Skrzecz O.
69' Event
Fietz K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 game between B. Gdynia and Jarocin finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward B. Gdynia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
B. Gdynia
33%
Draws
27%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: B. Gdynia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • B. Gdynia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans B. Gdynia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
B. Gdynia Clean Sheet 13%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Gdynia Jarocin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 III Liga - Group II
B. Gdynia vs Jarocin
4:0
Nov 13, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs B. Gdynia
0:2
Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group II
B. Gdynia vs Jarocin
1:2
Nov 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs B. Gdynia
0:0
Sep 12, 2020 III Liga - Group II
B. Gdynia vs Jarocin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Gdynia Compare

Top Goalscorer Korpalski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skrzecz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Gdynia 39 / 100
Jarocin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Gdynia Jarocin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GDY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jarocin conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

B. Gdynia scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

B. Gdynia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

B. Gdynia VS Jarocin
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Gdynia

(Home)
22 Feb
B. Gdynia
9 : 3
Chwaszczyno
15 Feb
B. Gdynia
0 : 2
Gedania Gdansk
08 Feb
B. Gdynia
1 : 2
Gryf Wejherowo
01 Feb
B. Gdynia
2 : 4
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
25 Jan
B. Gdynia
3 : 4
Cartusia Kartuzy
Page 1 of 6

Jarocin

(Away)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ol. Grudziadz 34 23 7 4 73:18 76
2 Pogon Szczecin II 34 20 9 5 69:25 69
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 4 10 75:54 64
4 Zawisza 34 19 5 10 69:45 62
5 Gedania Gdansk 34 19 4 11 63:59 61
6 Starogard Gdanski 34 17 8 9 44:35 59
7 Swit Szczecin 34 16 7 11 61:41 55
8 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 16 6 12 51:46 54
9 Kleczew 34 14 5 15 53:48 47
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 11 11 12 37:42 44
11 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 10 13 37:40 43
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 10 12 12 46:45 42
13 Stolem Gniewino 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
14 Vineta Wolin 34 8 11 15 47:66 35
15 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 9 8 17 40:59 35
16 Jarocin 34 9 6 19 41:69 33
17 B. Gdynia 34 8 4 22 43:70 28
18 Unia Janikowo 34 2 4 28 17:85 10
19 Przodkowo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)