Sport Picks
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach 
Match Events
54'
54'
Stoger K.
56'
56'
Schlotterbeck N.
61'
61'
Sub
Beier M. In: Svensson D.
Out: Beier M.
AI Match Summary
B. Monchengladbach in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored B. Monchengladbach.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- B. Monchengladbach haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
- Model gives Dortmund a 71% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | B. Monchengladbach | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs B. Monchengladbach
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs B. Monchengladbach
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
B. Monchengladbach Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabakovic H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Dortmund Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
B. Monchengladbach 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
B. Monchengladbach Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
B. Monchengladbach found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Dortmund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: B. Monchengladbach stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
B. Monchengladbach VS Dortmund
3 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
B. Monchengladbach
(Home) 24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3 B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Elversberg
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Mainz
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4 Elversberg
15 Aug
B. Monchengladbach
2 : 1 Aston Villa
16 May
B. Monchengladbach
4 : 0 Hoffenheim
03 May
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 0 Dortmund
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Dortmund
(Away) 19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1 Dortmund
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
