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B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

B. Monchengladbach host Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. B. Monchengladbach have averaged 2.28 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Dortmund's 1.9 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, B. Monchengladbach have won 1 to Dortmund's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.44) point toward Dortmund. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
B. Monchengladbach
20%
Draws
52%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dortmund come out ahead of B. Monchengladbach on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 16%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach Dortmund
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.28 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs B. Monchengladbach
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs B. Monchengladbach
3:2
Dec 7, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Dortmund
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 36 / 100
Dortmund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: B. Monchengladbach scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Dortmund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: B. Monchengladbach remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS Dortmund
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0
Paderborn
27 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
2 : 0
Karlsruher
23 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
11 Oct
1. FC Koln
2 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
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Dortmund

(Away)
04 Nov
Dortmund
2 : 1
Betis
31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2
Dortmund
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2
Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Dortmund
1 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2
Dortmund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)