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Stadium Background

B. Monchengladbach vs Karlsruher

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
B. Monchengladbach Logo

B. Monchengladbach

3 - 1
FT
Karlsruher Logo

Karlsruher

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Machino S.
Assist: Tabakovic H.
26'
Rapp N.
51' Event
Elvedi N.
Assist: Stoger K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with B. Monchengladbach advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
B. Monchengladbach
15%
Draws
49%
Karlsruher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlsruher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and B. Monchengladbach come out ahead of Karlsruher on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on B. Monchengladbach taking it.
  • B. Monchengladbach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor B. Monchengladbach, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 13%
Karlsruher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach Karlsruher
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
B. Monchengladbach vs Karlsruher
3:1
Apr 5, 2009 Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs B. Monchengladbach
0:0
Oct 25, 2008 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Karlsruher
1:0
Feb 28, 2000 2. Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Karlsruher
4:1
Aug 30, 1999 2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher vs B. Monchengladbach
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Machino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elvedi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Karlsruher Compare

Top Goalscorer Schleusener F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 35 / 100
Karlsruher 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach Karlsruher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlsruher has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

B. Monchengladbach scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Karlsruher registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS Karlsruher
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6

Karlsruher

(Away)
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
04 Sept
Hannover
2 : 2
Karlsruher
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
21 Aug
Preussen Munster
1 : 2
Karlsruher
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0