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Ba vs Nadroga

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Govind Park, Ba
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nalaubu S.
44' Event
Doidoi R.
48' Event
Elijah

AI Match Summary

Ba in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ba
6%
Draws
4%
Nadroga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Nadroga.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ba Clean Sheet 18%
Nadroga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Nadroga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 3.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Nadroga vs Ba
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
5:2
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Nadroga vs Ba
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
2:2
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Ba vs Nadroga
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalaubu S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Doidoi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Nadroga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacere S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuicakau T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Nadroga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Nadroga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ba scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Nadroga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS Nadroga
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
05 Jul
Ba
1 : 1
Nadi
30 May
Nadroga
0 : 3
Ba
24 May
Ba
7 : 0
Nasinu
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Nadroga

(Away)
19 Jul
Rewa
6 : 0
Nadroga
12 Jul
Nadroga
2 : 2
Tailevu Naitasiri
05 Jul
Labasa
3 : 1
Nadroga
30 May
Nadroga
0 : 3
Ba
23 May
Navua
1 : 1
Nadroga
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ba1493241:1230
2Labasa1485130:1529
3Rewa1491434:1428
4Nasinu1463523:3321
5Lautoka1455428:2420
6Suva1445526:1917
7Navua1444615:2016
8Nadi1442817:2214
9Nadroga1424818:3710
10Tailevu Naitasiri1414914:507
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