Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ba vs Navua

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Govind Park, Ba
Ba Logo

Ba

1 - 0
FT
Navua Logo

Navua

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Dogalau E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ba in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ba
15%
Draws
32%
Navua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Navua.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Navua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Navua
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Navua
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Navua vs Ba
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Navua
1:1
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Navua vs Ba
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Premier League
Navua vs Ba
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogalau E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Navua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 76 / 100
Navua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Navua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Navua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS Navua
3.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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Navua

(Away)
23 Aug
Rewa
0 : 1
Navua
15 Aug
Nasinu
0 : 2
Navua
02 Aug
Tailevu Naitasiri
2 : 7
Navua
26 Jul
Navua
0 : 1
Labasa
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)