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Bac Ninh vs Aurora Saigon United

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

90' Event
Xuan Tin V.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Bac Ninh and Aurora Saigon United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bac Ninh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bac Ninh
15%
Draws
21%
Aurora Saigon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aurora Saigon United haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 68%
Aurora Saigon United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Aurora Saigon United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.72 0.82
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Aurora Saigon United
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 V.League 2
Aurora Saigon United vs Bac Ninh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Xuan Tin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aurora Saigon United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 59 / 100
Aurora Saigon United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Aurora Saigon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Aurora Saigon United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Bac Ninh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Aurora Saigon United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Aurora Saigon United
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
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Aurora Saigon United

(Away)
11 Sept
Hue FC
0 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Aurora Saigon United
0 : 1
Ho Chi Minh City
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
06 Jun
Ho Chi Minh City
2 : 0
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)