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Bac Ninh vs Thep Can Tho

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Bui Quang Huy
48' Event
Nguyen Trong Son
67' Event
Kaina

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Bac Ninh and Thep Can Tho finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bac Ninh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bac Ninh
15%
Draws
39%
Thep Can Tho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thep Can Tho haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 18%
Thep Can Tho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Thep Can Tho
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.72 0.96
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 V.League 2
Thep Can Tho vs Bac Ninh
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Thep Can Tho
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaina
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Trong Son
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Thep Can Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Bui Quang Huy
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Chinh Dang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 36 / 100
Thep Can Tho 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Thep Can Tho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thep Can Tho let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Bac Ninh scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bac Ninh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Thep Can Tho
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
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Thep Can Tho

(Away)
20 Sept
Hai Phong
0 : 1
Thep Can Tho
12 Sept
Thep Can Tho
0 : 3
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Thep Can Tho
4 : 2
Ho Chi Minh 2
30 May
Khanh Hoa
1 : 1
Thep Can Tho
23 May
Thep Can Tho
3 : 1
PVF-CAND B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)