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Bac Ninh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Phan Van Hieu
67' Event
Yago Ramos

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 game between Bac Ninh and Xuan Thien Phu Tho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bac Ninh
6%
Draws
4%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Xuan Thien Phu Tho haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular V.League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 19%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Bac Ninh
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Phan Van Hieu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Ramos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 85 / 100
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bac Ninh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Xuan Thien Phu Tho
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Truong Tuoi Dong Nai22155247:1450
2Bac Ninh22136341:2345
3Ho Chi Minh City22115633:2238
4Quy Nhon United22105738:3135
5Xuan Thien Phu Tho2296734:3233
6PVF-CAND B2288634:2632
7Van Hien2277821:2428
8Khanh Hoa2276921:2327
9Quang Ninh2268823:2626
10Dong Thap2259816:2124
11Long An22351411:3014
12Ho Chi Minh 222141715:627
13Hoa Binh00000:00