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Bac Ninh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Phan Van Hieu
67' Event
Yago Ramos

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Bac Ninh and Xuan Thien Phu Tho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bac Ninh
20%
Draws
32%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Xuan Thien Phu Tho haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 18%
Xuan Thien Phu Tho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Xuan Thien Phu Tho
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 V.League 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho vs Bac Ninh
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Phan Van Hieu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Xuan Thien Phu Tho Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Ramos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 40 / 100
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Xuan Thien Phu Tho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bac Ninh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Xuan Thien Phu Tho
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
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Xuan Thien Phu Tho

(Away)
20 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
13 Sept
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 1
Khanh Hoa
20 Aug
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 2
Hung Yen
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
30 May
PVF-CAND B
2 : 2
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)