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Bacevac vs Padinska Skela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bacevac host Padinska Skela in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Bacevac at 1.5 goals for, 3 against; Padinska Skela at 0.89 for, 1.14 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.13 - 1.25) back Padinska Skela to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bacevac
20%
Draws
40%
Padinska Skela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Padinska Skela lately — more wins on the board than Bacevac.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - Belgrade form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bacevac Clean Sheet 19%
Padinska Skela Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bacevac Padinska Skela
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.89
Goals Conceded 3 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bacevac 36 / 100
Padinska Skela 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bacevac Padinska Skela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padinska Skela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bacevac found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

Defensive concern: Padinska Skela conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Padinska Skela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bacevac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bacevac VS Padinska Skela
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bacevac

(Home)
03 Oct
Bacevac
3 : 3
Nika Lepusnica
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
Page 1 of 2

Padinska Skela

(Away)
03 Oct
Buducnost Dobanovci
1 : 0
Padinska Skela
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost Dobanovci 7 4 3 0 12:1 15
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
3 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Usce 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
5 Bezanija 7 4 0 3 10:7 12
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 BASK 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
8 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)