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Backa vs Donji Srem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Prva Liga 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Backa in this Prva Liga 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Backa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Backa
20%
Draws
44%
Donji Srem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Donji Srem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Backa lately — more wins on the board than Donji Srem.
  • Model gives Backa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Backa Clean Sheet 20%
Donji Srem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Backa Donji Srem
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Backa vs Donji Srem
6:0
Nov 1, 2015 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Donji Srem vs Backa
2:1
Apr 29, 2010 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Backa vs Donji Srem
0:1
Oct 10, 2009 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Donji Srem vs Backa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Backa 85 / 100
Donji Srem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Backa Donji Srem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Backa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Backa scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Donji Srem has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Backa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Backa VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Backa

(Home)
03 Oct
Backa
0 : 0
Mladost Apatin
26 Sept
Mladost Backi Jarak
3 : 1
Backa
19 Sept
Sloven Ruma
2 : 3
Backa
12 Sept
Backa
0 : 1
Tekstilac Odzaci
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Stara Pazova
1 : 1
Backa
Page 1 of 7

Donji Srem

(Away)
29 May
Donji Srem
0 : 2
Sloga Petrovac
26 May
Zemun
0 : 1
Donji Srem
21 May
Donji Srem
0 : 1
Kolubara
14 May
Backa
6 : 0
Donji Srem
08 May
Donji Srem
2 : 0
Radnicki 1923
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Napredak 30 21 5 4 48:26 68
2 Backa 30 16 8 6 52:30 56
3 CSK Pivara 30 14 6 10 28:19 48
4 Indjija 30 12 9 9 46:28 45
5 Bezanija 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Sindjelic Beograd 30 11 9 10 32:25 42
7 Kolubara 30 11 9 10 29:28 42
8 Proleter Novi Sad 30 9 13 8 32:29 40
9 BSK Borca 30 11 7 12 32:38 40
10 Zemun 30 10 9 11 29:33 39
11 Sloga Petrovac 30 10 9 11 34:36 39
12 Din. Vranje 30 11 5 14 27:38 38
13 Sloboda 30 8 11 11 35:34 35
14 Donji Srem 30 8 10 12 24:38 34
15 Loznica 30 7 10 13 21:35 31
16 Radnicki 1923 30 2 6 22 23:63 12
Promotion - Super Liga 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Super Liga 2016/2017 (Main)