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Bad Gleichenberg vs Union Gurten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Wendler P.
55' Event
Stuber-Hamm P.
85' Event
Perger J.

AI Match Summary

Bad Gleichenberg in this Regionalliga Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bad Gleichenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bad Gleichenberg
20%
Draws
38%
Union Gurten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bad Gleichenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Union Gurten have won more games recently than Bad Gleichenberg.
  • Union Gurten are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bad Gleichenberg Clean Sheet 16%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Gleichenberg Union Gurten
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Regionalliga Central
Bad Gleichenberg vs Union Gurten
3:0
Oct 13, 2023 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Bad Gleichenberg
3:1
Mar 31, 2023 Regionalliga Central
Bad Gleichenberg vs Union Gurten
5:0
Aug 19, 2022 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs Bad Gleichenberg
1:1
Jun 10, 2022 Regionalliga Central
Bad Gleichenberg vs Union Gurten
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bad Gleichenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendler P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stuber-Hamm P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Union Gurten Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Gleichenberg 28 / 100
Union Gurten 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Gleichenberg Union Gurten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Gurten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bad Gleichenberg scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Bad Gleichenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Gurten let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Union Gurten
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Gleichenberg

(Home)
07 Jun
Bad Gleichenberg
2 : 1
LASK Linz (Am)
31 May
SC Weiz
5 : 2
Bad Gleichenberg
24 May
Bad Gleichenberg
4 : 3
Hogo Hertha Wels
17 May
Bad Gleichenberg
3 : 0
Union Gurten
11 May
Bad Gleichenberg
1 : 2
Weindorf St. Anna
Page 1 of 6

Union Gurten

(Away)
02 Oct
Seekirchen
0 : 0
Union Gurten
26 Sept
Union Gurten
0 : 0
Johann
18 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2 : 0
Union Gurten
11 Sept
Union Gurten
4 : 1
Pinzgau Saalfelden
04 Sept
Kuchl
0 : 1
Union Gurten
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASK Voitsberg 30 22 4 4 79:30 70
2 Union Gurten 30 15 6 9 45:26 51
3 Hogo Hertha Wels 30 14 8 8 56:32 50
4 LASK Linz (Am) 30 13 8 9 65:38 47
5 SC Weiz 30 13 6 11 57:53 45
6 Wallern/St Marienkirchen 30 13 6 11 56:55 45
7 Weindorf St. Anna 30 12 5 13 38:60 41
8 Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 30 11 7 12 53:44 40
9 Vocklamarkt 30 11 6 13 38:53 39
10 Vorwarts Steyr 30 10 8 12 32:38 38
11 Ried (Am) 30 11 4 15 54:70 37
12 ASK Klagenfurt 30 11 4 15 51:58 37
13 Gleisdorf 30 9 8 13 39:43 35
14 Bad Gleichenberg 30 10 5 15 51:71 35
15 Wolfsberger AC (Am) 30 9 8 13 45:61 35
16 Allerheiligen 30 8 3 19 43:70 27
Promotion - 2. Liga 2024/2025 (Main)