Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bad Soden vs VfB Marburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Freese M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with VfB Marburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bad Soden
15%
Draws
73%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Marburg come out ahead of Bad Soden on wins alone.
  • VfB Marburg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • VfB Marburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor VfB Marburg, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bad Soden Clean Sheet 12%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Soden VfB Marburg
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Bad Soden
3:2
Jun 3, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Soden vs VfB Marburg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Soden 27 / 100
VfB Marburg 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Soden VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bad Soden's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Defensive concern: VfB Marburg conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: VfB Marburg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bad Soden VS VfB Marburg
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Soden

(Home)
07 Jun
Bad Soden
1 : 1
Bornheim GW
04 Jun
Bornheim GW
2 : 1
Bad Soden
06 Jun
VfB Marburg
3 : 2
Bad Soden
03 Jun
Bad Soden
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
11 Jun
Hornau
3 : 1
Bad Soden
Page 1 of 2

VfB Marburg

(Away)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
VfB Marburg 4
Bad Soden 2
FV Biebrich 02 5
Dortelweil 6
Final
VfB Marburg 4
Dortelweil 2