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Badbaado vs Horseed

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Horseed finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horseed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Badbaado
20%
Draws
46%
Horseed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Horseed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Horseed carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Horseed have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Horseed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Horseed
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
3:1
May 31, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Horseed
0:2
Feb 26, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
2:2
Dec 14, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Horseed
0:7
Jun 23, 2024 National league
Horseed vs Badbaado
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 38 / 100
Horseed 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Horseed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Horseed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Badbaado has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Horseed
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Horseed

(Away)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
21 Jul
Dekedda
2 : 1
Horseed
18 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 1
Horseed
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)