Sport Picks

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Badbaado vs Jazeera

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

4 - 1
FT
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Jazeera finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
34%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Badbaado come out ahead of Jazeera on wins alone.
  • Model gives Badbaado a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Jazeera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
4:1
May 1, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Badbaado
2:4
May 13, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Badbaado
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
0:3
May 31, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Jazeera
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 83 / 100
Jazeera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Badbaado scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Jazeera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jazeera has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Jazeera
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Jazeera

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)