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Badbaado vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

0 - 1
FT
Jeenyo Logo

Jeenyo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Jeenyo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jeenyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Badbaado
20%
Draws
46%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeenyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Badbaado come out ahead of Jeenyo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Badbaado's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 14%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Jeenyo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Badbaado
2:2
Apr 20, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
0:1
Apr 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
2:3
Dec 21, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Badbaado
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 National league
Badbaado vs Jeenyo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 35 / 100
Jeenyo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Badbaado scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Jeenyo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Badbaado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Jeenyo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Jeenyo

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)