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Badbaado vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

4 - 0
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Jubba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jubba haven't matched Badbaado's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 16%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Jubba
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.93 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.83 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Badbaado
2:7
May 16, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jubba
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 84 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Jubba let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jubba has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Jubba
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)