Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Badbaado vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Jubba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Badbaado
6%
Draws
4%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jubba haven't matched Badbaado's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 16%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Jubba
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Badbaado
2:7
May 16, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Jubba
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 84 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jubba conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Jubba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Badbaado found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Jubba
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Jubba

(Away)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
08 Jul
Jubba
0 : 4
Mogadishu City
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)