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Badbaado vs Raadsan Prediction & H2H Stats

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Badbaado in this National league matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Badbaado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
34%
Raadsan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Badbaado have won more games recently than Raadsan.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Raadsan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Raadsan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Raadsan
4:2
May 21, 2026 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
2:1
May 23, 2025 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Raadsan
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 National league
Raadsan vs Badbaado
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 83 / 100
Raadsan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Raadsan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Raadsan conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Raadsan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Raadsan
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Raadsan

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Raadsan
0 : 4
Heegan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)