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Baden vs Winterthur II

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 Esp Stadium, Fislisbach
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baden in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Baden
15%
Draws
20%
Winterthur II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baden lately — more wins on the board than Winterthur II.
  • Win probability leans Baden's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Baden Clean Sheet 11%
Winterthur II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baden Winterthur II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Winterthur II
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Baden
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Winterthur II
6:2
Jul 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Baden vs Winterthur II
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Winterthur II vs Baden
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baden 40 / 100
Winterthur II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baden Winterthur II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Winterthur II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Baden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baden VS Winterthur II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baden

(Home)
22 Aug
Baden
3 : 1
Eschen/Mauren
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
08 Aug
Baden
2 : 1
Winterthur II
31 Jul
Baden
2 : 0
Gossau
25 Jul
Baden
1 : 2
FC Kreuzlingen
Page 1 of 6

Winterthur II

(Away)
22 Aug
Kosova
2 : 1
Winterthur II
19 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 0
Thalwil
08 Aug
Baden
2 : 1
Winterthur II
30 May
Winterthur II
0 : 1
Hongg
23 May
FC Widnau
2 : 1
Winterthur II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Baden 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 St. Gallen II 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
4 Dietikon 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
5 Kosova 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Taverne 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
7 Gossau 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Thalwil 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
9 Winterthur II 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
10 Mendrisio 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Eschen/Mauren 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
12 Wettswil-Bonstetten 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Freienbach 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Collina d'Oro 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 FC Widnau 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
16 Locarno 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)