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Badshot Lea vs Horndean Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Tue, Aug 1, 2023
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Badshot Lea host Horndean in the Club Friendly 2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Horndean have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Badshot Lea have conceded 3.03 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Badshot Lea slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back Badshot Lea to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Badshot Lea
15%
Draws
85%
Horndean
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horndean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Badshot Lea come out ahead of Horndean on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Horndean's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Badshot Lea Clean Sheet 11%
Horndean Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badshot Lea Horndean
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 1
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.04
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Badshot Lea vs Horndean
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badshot Lea 10 / 100
Horndean 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badshot Lea Horndean

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horndean Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horndean has conceded goals in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Badshot Lea scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Horndean registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badshot Lea VS Horndean
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Badshot Lea

(Home)
04 Jul
Badshot Lea
0 : 2
Aldershot
12 Jul
Badshot Lea
0 : 6
Aldershot
07 Sept
Badshot Lea
0 : 4
Broadbridge Heath
31 Aug
Badshot Lea
1 : 3
Cray Valley
06 Jul
Badshot Lea
3 : 4
Aldershot
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Horndean

(Away)
06 Sept
Bedfont Sports
1 : 0
Horndean
05 Oct
Tavistock
3 : 1
Horndean
21 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 2
Horndean
07 Sept
Horndean
3 : 0
Binfield
27 Jul
Horndean
1 : 0
Bognor Regis
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