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Baerum 2 vs Larvik Turn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Baerum 2 and Larvik Turn finished 10-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Baerum 2
15%
Draws
39%
Larvik Turn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Larvik Turn haven't matched Baerum 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baerum 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Baerum 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Larvik Turn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum 2 Larvik Turn
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 2.18 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.82 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Larvik Turn
10:1
Apr 27, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Larvik Turn vs Baerum 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 2 38 / 100
Larvik Turn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum 2 Larvik Turn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum 2's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Larvik Turn conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Baerum 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum 2 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum 2

(Home)
22 Oct
Holmen
6 : 1
Baerum 2
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
10 Oct
Ready
1 : 1
Baerum 2
03 Oct
Baerum 2
1 : 7
Assiden
27 Sept
Drammen
1 : 5
Baerum 2
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Larvik Turn

(Away)
24 Oct
Vestfossen
5 : 1
Larvik Turn
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
03 Oct
Larvik Turn
0 : 7
Lommedalen
28 Sept
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Larvik Turn
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