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Stadium Background

Baerum 2 vs Skarphedin

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Baerum 2 and Skarphedin finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Baerum 2
15%
Draws
39%
Skarphedin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Baerum 2's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Skarphedin have produced (1.4).
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Baerum 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Baerum 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Skarphedin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum 2 Skarphedin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Skarphedin
4:0
Jun 1, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Skarphedin vs Baerum 2
3:3
Oct 6, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Skarphedin vs Baerum 2
5:1
Jun 16, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Skarphedin
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 2 83 / 100
Skarphedin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum 2 Skarphedin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baerum 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Skarphedin conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Baerum 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baerum 2 VS Skarphedin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum 2

(Home)
22 Oct
Holmen
6 : 1
Baerum 2
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
10 Oct
Ready
1 : 1
Baerum 2
03 Oct
Baerum 2
1 : 7
Assiden
27 Sept
Drammen
1 : 5
Baerum 2
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Skarphedin

(Away)
18 Apr
Skarphedin
0 : 9
Odds BK
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
15 Oct
Skarphedin
3 : 2
Vigor
01 Oct
Madla IL
4 : 1
Skarphedin
24 Sept
Skarphedin
0 : 1
IL Express
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