Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baerum vs Heming

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hundvin-Hakonsen T.
36' Event
Ferrer U.
85' Event
Khachatrjan E.

AI Match Summary

Heming in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heming.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Baerum
15%
Draws
48%
Heming
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Baerum have won more games recently than Heming.
  • Win probability leans Heming's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Heming
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.97 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Heming vs Baerum
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Heming
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Arvesen C. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Heming Compare

Top Goalscorer Hundvin-Hakonsen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 22 / 100
Heming 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Heming

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heming Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Heming's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

Solid form: Baerum remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Heming
3.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
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Heming

(Away)
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
04 Sept
Gamle Oslo
2 : 1
Heming
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
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