Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baerum vs Heming

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hundvin-Hakonsen T.
36' Event
Ferrer U.
85' Event
Khachatrjan E.

AI Match Summary

Heming in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heming.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Baerum
22%
Draws
18%
Heming
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Baerum have won more games recently than Heming.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Heming
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Heming
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Arvesen C. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Heming Compare

Top Goalscorer Hundvin-Hakonsen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 56 / 100
Heming 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Heming

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Heming's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 15 matches.

Solid form: Baerum remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Heming
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%