Sport Picks

Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026

Baerum

0 - 5

Stabaek

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Opseth K.

Assist: Vinge R. E.

31'

Vinge R. E.

Assist: Ellegaard F.

35'

Myrmo M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stabaek in this NM Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Baerum

39%

Draws

31%

Stabaek

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Baerum.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
History favors Stabaek here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%

Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baerum	Stabaek
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	16
Draws	7	4
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	2.88	2.25
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly

Stabaek vs Baerum

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup

Baerum vs Stabaek

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:5

Apr 24, 2024 NM Cup

Baerum vs Stabaek

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:5

Jan 20, 2023 Club Friendly

Baerum vs Stabaek

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Jan 28, 2017 Club Friendly

Baerum vs Stabaek

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Opseth K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vinge R. E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 29 / 100

Stabaek 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baerum Stabaek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Stabaek has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Baerum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Stabaek

2.88 Goals Scored 2.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Spjelkavik2

Brattvag4

Forde0

Hodd2

TBD-

Bryne-

Haugesund-

TBD-

Rosenborg-

Ulfstind4

Alta3

Finnsnes0

Tromsdalen (TUIL)8

TBD-

Sandefjord-

Brann-

TBD-

Asker3

Skeid0

Vestfossen1

Mjondalen5

Bjarg2

Sogndal0

Vidar1

V. Haugesund4

Gamle Oslo2

Eidsvold TF1

Baerum0

Stabaek5

Flint0

Eik-Tonsberg1

Vigor0

Start3

TBD-

Viking-

Lysekloster3

Sandviken0

Gneist IL2

Asane3

Strindheim2

Stjordals Blink3

Traeff1

Aalesund4

Arendal3

Jerv2

Flekkeroy1

Egersund2

Follo6

Notodden2

Nordstrand1

Lyn3

Stromsgodset-

TBD-

Molde-

Ull/Kisa0

Strommen2

Pors1

Odds BK3

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Trygg/Lade2

Ranheim1

Nardo0

Levanger6

TBD-

Ham-Kam-

Djerv 19193

Sotra2

Madla IL1

Sandnes Ulf2

Honefoss3

Raufoss0

Lorenskog1

Lillestrom4

Junkeren3

Rana FK1

Brumunddal1

Kongsvinger5

TBD-

KFUM Oslo-

Tromso-

TBD-

Kristiansund-

Valerenga-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Kjelsas1

Grorud0

Rade0

Moss1

TBD-

Sarpsborg 08-

1/32-finals

Brattvag5

Hodd4

TBD-

Bryne-

Haugesund-

TBD-

Rosenborg-

Ulfstind2

Tromsdalen (TUIL)5

TBD-

Sandefjord-

Brann-

TBD-

Asker1

Mjondalen4

Bjarg2

V. Haugesund1

Gamle Oslo1

Stabaek4

Eik-Tonsberg3

Start0

TBD-

Viking-

Lysekloster3

Asane0

Stjordals Blink1

Aalesund2

Arendal2

Egersund3

Follo0

Lyn2

Stromsgodset-

TBD-

Molde-

Strommen2

Odds BK3

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Trygg/Lade1

Levanger3

TBD-

Ham-Kam-

Djerv 19192

Sandnes Ulf6

Honefoss2

Lillestrom3

Junkeren0

Kongsvinger4

TBD-

KFUM Oslo-

Tromso-

TBD-

Kristiansund-

Valerenga-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Kjelsas2

Moss1

TBD-

Sarpsborg 08-

1/16-finals

Brattvag1

Bryne2

Haugesund1

Rosenborg4

Tromsdalen (TUIL)6

Sandefjord1

Brann5

Mjondalen1

Bjarg6

Stabaek1

Eik-Tonsberg0

Viking2

Lysekloster1

Aalesund3

Egersund3

Lyn2

Stromsgodset1

Molde2

Odds BK1

Bodo/Glimt3

Levanger1

Ham-Kam5

Sandnes Ulf1

Lillestrom2

Kongsvinger1

KFUM Oslo3

Tromso2

Kristiansund1

Valerenga1

Fredrikstad2

Kjelsas5

Sarpsborg 086

1/8-finals

Bryne4

Rosenborg2

Tromsdalen (TUIL)2

Brann3

Bjarg0

Viking3

Aalesund3

Egersund2

Molde1

Bodo/Glimt2

Ham-Kam0

Lillestrom2

KFUM Oslo2

Tromso1

Fredrikstad2

Sarpsborg 081

Quarter-finals

Bryne1

Brann2

Viking1

Aalesund2

Bodo/Glimt4

Lillestrom0

KFUM Oslo3

Fredrikstad2

Semi-finals

Brann2

Aalesund1

Bodo/Glimt2

KFUM Oslo1

Final

Brann3

Bodo/Glimt4