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Baffour SA vs Berekum City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Division One League 2023/2024
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Match Events

68' Event
Aryeetey L.
90'
Rauf M. A.
90'
Rauf M. A.

AI Match Summary

The Division One League 2023/2024 game between Baffour SA and Berekum City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baffour SA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Baffour SA
15%
Draws
45%
Berekum City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berekum City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baffour SA come out ahead of Berekum City on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Baffour SA Clean Sheet 20%
Berekum City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baffour SA Berekum City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Division One League
Baffour SA vs Berekum City
2:3
Apr 7, 2024 Division One League
Berekum City vs Baffour SA
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Division One League
Baffour SA vs Berekum City
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Division One League
Berekum City vs Baffour SA
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baffour SA Compare

Top Goalscorer Aryeetey L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Berekum City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baffour SA 31 / 100
Berekum City 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baffour SA Berekum City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baffour SA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berekum City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Baffour SA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Baffour SA scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baffour SA VS Berekum City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baffour SA

(Home)
26 May
Baffour SA
2 : 3
Berekum City
19 May
Young Apostles
2 : 1
Baffour SA
12 May
Baffour SA
3 : 0
Mighty Royals
03 May
Brong Ahafo
0 : 4
Baffour SA
26 Apr
Baffour SA
2 : 1
Debibi United
Page 1 of 6

Berekum City

(Away)
04 Oct
Berekum City
1 : 0
Real Tamale
25 Sept
Northern City
1 : 1
Berekum City
19 Sept
Kalibi SC
1 : 0
Berekum City
26 May
Baffour SA
2 : 3
Berekum City
19 May
Berekum City
3 : 0
Mighty Royals
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holy Stars 30 16 5 9 31:19 56
2 New Edubiase 30 15 9 6 34:18 54
3 Ebusua 30 13 12 5 38:22 51
4 Skyy 30 13 8 9 33:26 47
5 Pac Academy 30 14 4 12 34:30 46
6 Soccer Intellectuals 30 12 9 9 28:27 45
7 Rospak 30 11 9 10 28:27 42
8 King Faisal 30 12 3 15 22:27 42
9 Future Stars 30 11 8 11 27:32 41
10 Swedru All Blacks 30 11 7 12 25:22 40
11 Sefwi All Stars 30 11 9 10 34:32 39
12 Asekem 30 11 5 14 28:34 38
13 Elmina Sharks 30 12 3 15 33:36 33
14 Nzema Kotoko 30 11 5 14 27:29 32
15 Venomous Vipers 30 8 6 16 26:36 30
16 Young Redbull 30 6 4 20 22:53 22
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vision 30 17 7 6 46:26 58
2 Okwawu United 30 14 10 6 28:20 52
3 Hohoe United 30 15 7 8 41:19 52
4 Attram de Visser 30 15 7 8 32:24 52
5 Na God 30 14 5 11 36:28 47
6 Home Stars 30 10 15 5 24:19 45
7 Golden Kick 30 13 6 11 38:38 45
8 Nania 30 12 7 11 31:33 43
9 Semper FI FC 30 11 7 12 36:28 40
10 RainMasters 30 10 7 13 23:31 37
11 Kotoku Royals 30 9 10 11 22:29 37
12 Kings Palace 30 9 10 11 29:36 37
13 Akatsi All Stars 30 8 8 14 33:46 32
14 Uncle T United 30 8 7 15 33:40 31
15 Susubiribi 30 6 7 17 19:37 25
16 Still Believe 30 5 8 17 25:42 23
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Techiman Heroes 28 19 2 7 39:19 53
2 VC Warriors 28 13 8 7 35:26 47
3 Tamale City 28 12 7 9 40:23 43
4 Northern City 28 11 4 13 35:40 37
5 Wa Power 28 9 7 12 26:39 37
6 Steadfast 28 9 6 13 32:38 33
7 Wa Suntaa 28 9 6 13 27:33 33
8 Maana 28 8 4 16 30:46 22
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Apostles 28 15 5 8 26:20 54
2 Techiman Liberty 28 15 8 5 31:19 49
3 Mighty Royals 28 13 5 10 28:25 44
4 Debibi United 28 12 7 9 42:28 43
5 Baffour SA 28 11 3 14 30:29 36
6 Eleven Wonders 28 10 6 12 23:27 36
7 Berekum City 28 9 7 12 27:24 34
8 Brong Ahafo 28 4 5 19 16:51 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Division One League 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)