Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Qasim M.
66'
66'
Kareem J.
77'
77'
Aziz Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Zawraa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Baghdad.
- Model gives Al Zawraa a 65% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Baghdad Clean Sheet 18%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baghdad | Al Zawraa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Zawraa
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Baghdad
3:2
Apr 14, 2024 Stars League
Baghdad vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Dec 20, 2023 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Baghdad
0:0
Jun 2, 2022 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Baghdad
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baghdad Compare
Top Goalscorer Kareem J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Talib H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48
Al Zawraa Compare
Top Goalscorer Qasim M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aziz Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baghdad 12 / 100
Al Zawraa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baghdad Al Zawraa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baghdad's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Al Zawraa has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Baghdad remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Baghdad VS Al Zawraa
1.17 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Baghdad
(Home) 08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1 Karbala
02 Jun
Erbil
3 : 1 Baghdad
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3 Al Gharraf
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4 Baghdad
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1 Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6
08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1 Karbala
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3 Al Gharraf
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1 Al Kahraba
02 May
Baghdad
2 : 2 Al Qassim
26 Apr
Baghdad
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 3
Al Zawraa
(Away) 08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0 Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Duhok
3 : 0 Al Zawraa
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2 Al Zawraa
21 Aug
Karbala
1 : 1 Al Zawraa
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0 Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
