Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baghdad vs Zakho

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Apr 3, 2026
3 - 0
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rostam A.
15' Event
Arzaij A.
43' Event
Matheus Lucas

AI Match Summary

Baghdad host Zakho in the Stars League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Zakho have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Baghdad have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Baghdad slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.69) back Zakho to edge this. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Baghdad
30%
Draws
34%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baghdad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zakho lately — more wins on the board than Baghdad.
  • Win probability leans Baghdad's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Baghdad Clean Sheet 13%
Zakho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baghdad Zakho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Stars League
Baghdad vs Zakho
3:0
Jan 9, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Baghdad
2:2
May 9, 2024 Stars League
Baghdad vs Zakho
0:0
Feb 16, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Baghdad
1:0
Feb 25, 2022 Stars League
Baghdad vs Zakho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baghdad Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzaij A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostam A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baghdad 35 / 100
Zakho 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baghdad Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zakho conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Baghdad's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Zakho's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baghdad VS Zakho
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baghdad

(Home)
08 Jun
Baghdad
0 : 1
Karbala
02 Jun
Erbil
3 : 1
Baghdad
27 May
Baghdad
1 : 3
Al Gharraf
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Erbil
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2
Zakho
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)