Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Baglan Dragons and Caerphilly finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caerphilly.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Baglan Dragons come out ahead of Caerphilly on wins alone.
- Baglan Dragons are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Caerphilly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 12 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baglan Dragons Compare
Caerphilly Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caerphilly let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.
Baglan Dragons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Baglan Dragons's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Caerphilly
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Treowen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Pontypridd United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17:16 | 11 |
| 7 | Caerau Ely | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanelli | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 2 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:15 | 1 |
