Sport Picks

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmaman Institute - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

FA Cup 2023/2024

Baglan Dragons

5 - 1

Cwmaman Institute

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Baglan Dragons advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Baglan Dragons

15%

Draws

42%

Cwmaman Institute

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baglan Dragons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Baglan Dragons come out ahead of Cwmaman Institute on wins alone.
43% — that's where the model lands on Baglan Dragons taking it.
Baglan Dragons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Baglan Dragons, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%

Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baglan Dragons	Cwmaman Institute
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	6	7
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	1.15	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.59	2.27
Expected Goals (xG)	0.79	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmaman Institute

5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 83 / 100

Cwmaman Institute 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baglan Dragons Cwmaman Institute

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmaman Institute has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Cwmaman Institute lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baglan Dragons VS -

0.38 Goals Scored 0

2.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)

02 Oct

Llanelli

1 : 2

Baglan Dragons

25 Sept

Baglan Dragons

1 : 2

Carmarthen Town

12 Sept

Cardiff Draconians

2 : 1

Baglan Dragons

04 Sept

Baglan Dragons

2 : 1

Afan Lido

31 Aug

Baglan Dragons

0 : 1

Caerphilly

Page 1 of 7

Cwmaman Institute

(Away)

16 Sept

Baglan Dragons

5 : 1

Cwmaman Institute

19 Oct

Cwmaman Institute

2 : 6

STM Sports

28 Apr

Cwmaman Institute

2 : 0

Cwmbran Celtic

24 Apr

AFC Porth

2 : 0

Cwmaman Institute

20 Apr

Taffs Well

0 : 1

Cwmaman Institute

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Penrhyncoch 2

Chirk AAA FC 4

Porthmadog 3

Glantraeth FC 0

Newport City 0

Abergavenny Town 2

Cardiff Airport 3

Cefn Fforest 1

Rhyl 1

Menai Bridge Tigers 2

Tregaron Turfs 2

Llanuwchllyn 10

Corwen 0

Bow Street 4

TBD -

Buckley -

Penparcau FC 0

Cefn Albion 1

Holyhead 0

Bangor 1876 4

Cerrigydrudion 2

Denbigh 4

TBD -

Flint Town -

Connahs Q. -

TBD -

Caernarfon -

St. Asaph 1

Llandudno Junction 0

TBD -

Prestatyn -

Cardiff Corries 2

Caerau Ely 3

TBD -

Afan Lido -

Llanidloes Town 5

Builth 4

Radnor Valley 0

Gresford 4

Aberystwyth -

TBD -

Pontardawe -

Bala -

TBD -

Llandudno FC -

NFA 0

Flint Mountain 3

TBD -

Holywell Town FC -

Canton 3

Sully Sports 1

TBD -

Cambrian United -

Penydarren 2

South Gower AFC 3

Rockspur 4

Afan United 2

Chepstow Town 7

Pill 0

Abercarn United 4

St Albans 1

Haverfordwest -

TBD -

Baglan Dragons 5

Cwmaman Institute 1

Goytre Utd 1

Trefelin 3

Ammanford Town 1

Taffs Well 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University -

TBD -

Aber Valley 2

Cwmbran Town 3

Mochdre Sports 0

Nantlle Vale FC 2

Mold Alexandra 13

Montgomery 1

Pwllheli 1

Felinheli 2

TBD -

Newtown -

Colwyn Bay -

TBD -

Llanrwst United 2

Conwy Borough 1

Barry Town -

TBD -

Treharris Athletic 1

Porthcawl Town 2

Brickfield Rangers 3

Caersws FC 1

TBD -

Guilsfield -

Airbus UK Broughton FC -

TBD -

Penycae FC 1

Rhos Aelwyd 4

Aberfan 2

Pontyclun FC 1

TBD -

Briton Ferry -

Llanelli -

TBD -

Llantwit Major -

Cwmbran Celtic -

TBD -

Penybont -

Carmarthen Town -

TBD -

Mumbles Rangers 1

Evans Williams 2

Pontypridd United -

TBD -

Abertillery Bluebirds 2

Caerphilly 1

Ruthin Town -

TBD -

TNS -

Trethomas Bluebirds 4

Ely Rangers 1

Llantwit Fardre 3

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4

1/32-finals

Chirk AAA FC 1

Porthmadog 2

Abergavenny Town 1

Cardiff Airport 3

Menai Bridge Tigers 0

Llanuwchllyn 2

Bow Street 2

Buckley 3

Cefn Albion 1

Bangor 1876 7

Denbigh 0

Flint Town 3

Connahs Q. 4

Caernarfon 1

St. Asaph 0

Prestatyn 1

Caerau Ely 4

Afan Lido 0

Llanidloes Town 1

Gresford 3

Aberystwyth 2

Pontardawe 1

Bala 3

Llandudno FC 0

Flint Mountain 3

Holywell Town FC 1

Canton 2

Cambrian United 1

South Gower AFC 1

Rockspur 0

Chepstow Town 4

Abercarn United 0

Haverfordwest 1

Baglan Dragons 0

Trefelin 2

Ammanford Town 3

Cardiff Metropolitan University 4

Cwmbran Town 0

Nantlle Vale FC 2

Mold Alexandra 3

Felinheli 0

Newtown 6

Colwyn Bay 6

Llanrwst United 2

Barry Town 6

Porthcawl Town 0

Brickfield Rangers 2

Guilsfield 7

Airbus UK Broughton FC 4

Rhos Aelwyd 0

Aberfan 0

Briton Ferry 3

Llanelli 4

Llantwit Major 0

Cwmbran Celtic 0

Penybont 3

Carmarthen Town 2

Evans Williams 0

Pontypridd United -

Abertillery Bluebirds -

Ruthin Town 0

TNS 5

Trethomas Bluebirds 6

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1

1/16-finals

Porthmadog 5

Cardiff Airport 1

Llanuwchllyn 1

Buckley 2

Bangor 1876 1

Flint Town 2

Connahs Q. 8

Prestatyn 0

Caerau Ely 4

Gresford 3

Aberystwyth 0

Bala 1

Flint Mountain 2

Canton 1

South Gower AFC 3

Chepstow Town 2

Haverfordwest 2

Ammanford Town 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University 2

Mold Alexandra 1

Newtown 1

Colwyn Bay 2

Barry Town 1

Guilsfield 0

Airbus UK Broughton FC 1

Briton Ferry 2

Llanelli 4

Penybont 3

Carmarthen Town 4

Abertillery Bluebirds 2

TNS 7

Trethomas Bluebirds 0

1/8-finals

Porthmadog 0

Buckley 2

Flint Town 0

Connahs Q. 3

Caerau Ely 1

Bala 4

Flint Mountain 2

South Gower AFC 1

Haverfordwest 1

Cardiff Metropolitan University 2

Colwyn Bay 2

Barry Town 0

Briton Ferry 1

Llanelli 0

Carmarthen Town 0

TNS 3

Quarter-finals

Buckley 1

Connahs Q. 4

Bala 3

Flint Mountain 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University 3

Colwyn Bay 2

Briton Ferry 1

TNS 5

Semi-finals

Connahs Q. 1

Bala 0

Cardiff Metropolitan University 2

TNS 6

Final

Connahs Q. 2

TNS 1

Baglan Dragons vs Cwmaman Institute - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

Baglan Dragons

Cwmaman Institute

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

Cwmaman Institute

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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