Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baglan Dragons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Baglan Dragons have won more games recently than Cwmbran Celtic.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Baglan Dragons taking it.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 17%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic
4:3
Mar 9, 2024 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Baglan Dragons
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baglan Dragons 84 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baglan Dragons Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cwmbran Celtic conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Cwmbran Celtic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Baglan Dragons found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Baglan Dragons VS Cwmbran Celtic
0.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.83
50% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home) 02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2 Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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