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Baglan Dragons vs Goytre AFC

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
55' Event
62' Event

AI Match Summary

Baglan Dragons in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baglan Dragons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Baglan Dragons
15%
Draws
42%
Goytre AFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baglan Dragons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baglan Dragons lately — more wins on the board than Goytre AFC.
  • Baglan Dragons are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baglan Dragons Goytre AFC
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.06 2.05
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Baglan Dragons vs Goytre AFC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 83 / 100
Goytre AFC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baglan Dragons Goytre AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre AFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Goytre AFC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baglan Dragons VS Goytre AFC
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
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Goytre AFC

(Away)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
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