Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd United Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Baglan Dragons host Pontypridd United in the Cymru South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.77 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Pontypridd United's 1.89 scored and 1.56 conceded. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 1 to Pontypridd United's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.63) back Pontypridd United to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Pontypridd United lately — more wins on the board than Baglan Dragons.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Baglan Dragons taking it.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pontypridd United conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Baglan Dragons scored in 52% of their last 31 games.
Baglan Dragons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Pontypridd United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
