Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Abdulrasheed I.
83'
83'
Logan N.
90'
90'
Parsons K.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Baglan Dragons and Taffs Well finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baglan Dragons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Baglan Dragons carry the better recent record into this one.
- Baglan Dragons are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Baglan Dragons have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Taffs Well |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons
1:3
Feb 10, 2024 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Taffs Well
1:0
Sep 22, 2023 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baglan Dragons Compare
Top Goalscorer Parsons K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Taffs Well Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulrasheed I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baglan Dragons 83 / 100
Taffs Well 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baglan Dragons Taffs Well
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Taffs Well conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Taffs Well lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Baglan Dragons's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Baglan Dragons VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
Taffs Well
(Away) 18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1 Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1 Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1 Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1 Taffs Well
04 Apr
Trefelin
2 : 0 Taffs Well
22 Mar
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1 Taffs Well
28 Feb
Caerau Ely
3 : 1 Taffs Well
15 Feb
Cwmbran Celtic
2 : 2 Taffs Well
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanelli | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64:25 | 64 |
| 2 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Newport City | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 4 | Trefelin | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54:41 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Cambrian United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 50:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 55:44 | 45 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44:34 | 43 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:34 | 43 |
| 10 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 47:50 | 36 |
| 11 | Afan Lido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 44:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 42:43 | 32 |
| 13 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:62 | 30 |
| 14 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 30:57 | 28 |
| 15 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 41:72 | 23 |
| 16 | Taffs Well | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 32:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)
