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Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baglan Dragons host Ynyshir Albions in the Cymru South. This one's hard to separate. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Ynyshir Albions's 1.21 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Baglan Dragons slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Ynyshir Albions. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baglan Dragons
30%
Draws
37%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ynyshir Albions lately — more wins on the board than Baglan Dragons.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 16%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baglan Dragons Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 30 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baglan Dragons Ynyshir Albions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baglan Dragons Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ynyshir Albions conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Baglan Dragons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Baglan Dragons scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Baglan Dragons VS Ynyshir Albions
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
17 Oct
Llantwit Fardre
1 : 3
Baglan Dragons
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Ynyshir Albions

(Away)
16 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
4 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
10 Oct
Ynyshir Albions
6 : 2
Llanelli
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)